Week 7 NFL Picks & Odds

Here is a list of my picks as well as the spreads and totals available for all the week 7 NFL games *(Home Teams are listed on bottom of matchup):

Baltimore -3-120 34.5
Buffalo

The Ravens have all the tools necessary to get the job done even with Kyle Boller at the helm. McGahee should be able to find the holes in the weak Buffalo D and Derrick Mason has been getting open alot! Add to the fact that the Baltimore Defense will be harrasing Trent Edwards all night and it seems like an easy pick. Buffalo had their chance at glory against the Cowboys and blew it so I don't expect them to turn things around any time soon.

Arizona
Washington -8.5 36

The Skins are coming off a dissapointing loss to Green Bay in a game where Jason Campbell was doing everything without a supporting cast to back them. Now they are back at home and hopefully refocused. 8.5 points seems like alot but when you see that Arizona doesn't have a quarterback at the moment with Kurt Warner going down last week leaving unproven Tim Rattay in the top spot and then the point spread isn't that high. Washington wins by 2 TD's at least!

Atlanta
New Orleans -9 42.5

The bookmakers have it all wrong here! Take ATL and the points as soon as you can! Last weeks win in Seattle does not vindicate the Saints nor was it the turning point in their season, Seattle simply played very poorly and Holmgren is a terrible play caller thats all. Atlanta is coming around quite nicely considering that fact that they had to rebuild the team around Harrington, Jerious Norwood is getting better and better every game Harrington and Roddy White have created chemistry. I like Atlanta to win straight up.

Minnesota
Dallas -9.5 46.5

Dallas got thumped last week by a superior Patriots team and I gotta think that it really hurt their egos. Minnesota is coming off a huge game over Chicago and they are feeling good and playing good....at least Adrian Peterson is, the defense will also be all over Romo. I like Minnesota plus the points and over the total.

New England -17 51.5
Miami

Its the classic matchup of a 6-0 team versus a 0-6 team. The spread is waaay too high. I don't care how good the Pats are you can't give a home team double digit numbers on the spread. I have no doubt that New England will win, but by posting a spread that high you are just making the Fins angry! Plus its about time that something good happened for Miami they are due. Take the points.

San Francisco
NY Giants -9.5

San Fran is lost right now, Alex Smith is shaky, Frank Gore is completely ineffective. The Giants on the other hand seem to be firing on all cylinders. Burress is playing excellent and Manning is on target. The running game is strong although Brandon Jacobs is making me nervous. Nevertheless I like the Giants to ROLL!

Tampa Bay
Detroit -2.5 44.5

I like Detroit fresh off their bye week. They are a good team this year despite what the critics say and Jon Kitna is playing like its his last season....it very well could be. Hes got a great support cast around him and the airel attack is always a good matchup against Tampa. On the other side of the ball Jeff Garcia is surprising everyone with his 103.5 rating and you can never count him out. Regardless, I like Detroit at home to get back on track and get to the postseason.

Kansas City
Oakland -3 +105 37.5

Oakland got thumped last week, but Lamont Jordan wasn't 100% and LT was on fire. This week they host the storied rivalry with KC and if everyone is healthy they should be fine. LJ can be contained because unlike the Begals, the Raiders actually do have a decent Defense. Personally I think the Raiders should start Culpepper, I have a feeling that this will be a ground and pound game with low scores and its gonna take some attitude as well as some finess. Bet Oakland and give the points at plus money.

NY Jets
Cincinnati -6 47

Cincinnati played horribly last week and gave Kansas City a reason for being. At home I think they are quite good but when the Jets come to town you gotta pay attention especially when your Defensive secondary couldn't cover a lineman going out for a pass and they have Jerico Cotchery and Laverneous Coles going deep on you. I think its going to be a high scoring game in the air so over 47 is definantly appealing, and the 6 points is alot to give the angry Jets team.

Chicago
Philidelphia -5.5 41

Chicago has officially been taken off my post season list. The change at quarter back came too little too late and the Defense is all banged up. You can bet that a semi healthy Brian Westbrook has been watching last weeks game film and picking out the same holes that Adrian Peterson found. Philly will roll on these scrubs.

St. Louis
Seattle -9 40

I am soo disgusted with Seattle's play last week that I almost like the Rams to cover. If Seattle can pull their heads out of their ass's then they should have no problem whipping these guys, but Seattle has been a little schitziphrenic lately and they have lost my confidense. At the present time I like Seattle to win but not cover the spread.

Tennessee -1 38.5
Houston

I think this spread is the same as a pick'em the -1 is just to scare the square bettors. Vince Young is less than 100% after straining his quad last week so it seems that a running game is in order and Houston does not fair well against the run. The fact remains that Houston is a tough team and I like them at home. Take Houston and the meaningless 1 point.


SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
Pittsburgh -3.5 39.5
Denver

Denver is in a world of hurt right now. Javon Walker will never be 100% this season and Travis Henry is staring down the barrell of a suspension for testing positive for Marijuana, the defense is giving up way too many yards on the ground. Pittsburgh has been all business this year except for that Arizona debacle and they reputation for beating Denver in the mile high city so I like Pitt giving the points and over the total.

MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
Indianapolis -3 44.5
Jacksonville

Indianapolis is not the same team as last year, yeah they are undefeated but that is all coming to an end and what better place than to a division rival and on Monday Night Football. David Garrard is playing superbly and the Defensive is very confident and able. Manning hasn't posting the kind of numbers we expect and that is much of the reason noone is paying much attention to the fact they are undefeated. They are due to fall, bottom line! Take Jacksonville and the points as well as the money line.

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NFL Divisional Odds to Win

The 2008 NFL Divisional Odds to Win are finally available!!! Can't believe it took them so long to post up.

Heres the individual divisions and the odds to win:

*Prices are based on $100 bets, ex (-135 = risk $135 to win $100, +450 = risk $100 to win $450)

AFC East

New England -385

NY Jets +575

Miami +450

Buffalo +425

*New England will win it unless they get injured. The value on the Jets is enough to at least bet half your normal amount. In the event something happens to the Pats that would be a great payoff at +575.

AFC North

Baltimore +155

Pittsburgh +185

Cincinnati +140

Cleveland +300

*I don't think Cincinnati will be that dominate this year which makes the Ravens the pick for this division, jump on it before the books figure it out!!!

AFC South

Indianapolis -265

Jacksonville +315

Tennessee +800

Houston +900

*Indianapolis is the obvious favorite for good reason but -265 is waaay too expensive.

AFC West

San Diego -150

Denver +150

Kansas City +600

Oakland +600

*Take a real good look at Denver, San Diego led by Norv Turner just doesn't feel right and I wouldn't be surprised to see them falter late into the season.

NFC East

Philadelphia +150

Dallas +150

NY Giants +380

Washington +380

*This is a tough division to handicapp so I will just have to go with Dallas, bascially a coin flip.

NFC North

Chicago -270

Green Bay +470

Detroit +850

Minnesota +430

*I think Chicago has a case of post superbowl appearance favortism, I don't see them going back to the big game, but they are definantly the strongest team in the division.

NFC West

Seattle +125

San Francisco +230

Arizona +365

St Louis +380

*Seattle is definantly looking tough and you should jump on the +125 while you can. If you aren't feeling the Seahawks this season then St. Louis is your bet.

NFC South

Atlanta +700

Carolina +180

New Orleans -110

Tampa Bay +400

*The Saints are favored for obvious reasons, and with Michael Vick out of the picture in Atlanta that only leaves Carolina to challenge and the Saints are just flat out looking better. At -110 its still cheap enough to jump on.

Indy vs Dallas Preseason

This Thursday Indianapolis will be heading to Dallas for both teams 1st preseason game. The current spread has Dallas -4.5 points with a total of 34.5. Peyton Manning will be there but will only see maybe a 2 sets of downs. The real test will be for head coach Wade Phillips who came in this year to replace the retired Tuna Parcels. Romo will start and probably play at least a whole quarter, lord knows he needs the practice. Its looking like Terrell Owens will not be playing as reports today say he is having back spasms and has been sitting out at practice. In the end, the Cowboys have way more work to do as far as getting into a rythem and Indy will most likely relax and play their new guys, if I had to bet on it I would take the Cowboys -4.5. Who do you like in this game?

Click here for all NFL Preseason Lines

PreSeason Odds Now Available!!!

The 2007 - 08 season is sooo close I can almost taste it. This week kicks off the beginning of the NFL Preseason on Saturday, August 5th when the New Orleans Saints led by Reggie Bush and Drew Brees travel to Pittsburgh to take on Ben Rothlisberger and Willie Parker in the Preseason opener. Currently Pittsburgh is favored -2 points with a total of 34.5. Preseason games are unexciting for a reason and this game will be no different, expect all the starters to play MAYBE the 1st quarter if that, and then I would expect them to get pulled. Heres a schedule of the all the Preseason games available so you know when to take advantage of the soft lines (home team listed on bottom): Aug 5th

New Orleans

Pittsburgh -2

Aug 9th

Cincinnati

Detroit -1.5

Indianapolis

Dallas -4.5

Aug 10th

Atlanta

NY Jets -3.5

New England

Tampa Bay -1

Buffalo

New Orleans

St. Louis

Minnesota -2.5

Aug 11th

Greenbay

Pittsburgh

Jacksonville

Miami -1.5

Kansas City

Cleveland -3+100

Washington

Tennessee -3-115

Carolina

NY Giants -1

Chicago -1.5

Houston

Arizona

Oakland -2

Aug 12th

Seattle

San Diego -3.5

Aug 13th

Philadelphia

Baltimore -3

Denver

San Francisco -2.5 -115

Also don't forget to check out all the Live NFL & NCAA Football Futures

Michael Vick has just ruined my Fantasy Football Team.

If you had been reading my past articles on Michael Vick you would be up to speed with whats going on. Yesturday a federal indictment was handed down charging Vick with competitive dog fighting. The 19-page federal indictment, filed in the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of Virginia, alleges the 27-year-old Vick and his co-defendants began the dogfighting operation in early 2001, the former Virginia Tech star's rookie year with the Falcons. Click here for the complete indictment.

In late May, two federal law enforcement officials were quoted as saying that they believed there was sufficient evidence to eventually indict Vick, but they were less certain of mounting a successful prosecution. There is a reason, however, that the feds own a conviction rate of better than 95 percent. The government typically doesn't indict unless it knows it can probably convict, and that should be unsettling news for the Falcons and their quarterback.

Falcons owner Arthur Blank, still out of the country Tuesday, faces a test of loyalty. Vick has been at times like a surrogate son to Blank, who has been often criticized locally for what is perceived as preferential treatment of his quarterback. But there came a point, perhaps when Blank awarded Vick a record $130 million, when the tenor of the relationship changed. Blank is all about image and, more than the dollar sign attached to Vick, it is the stigma his star could potentially carry that may concern him most.

This is a very disappointing turn of events especially after Vick has been working so hard in the offseason on yet another new offense. In light of the uncertainty of Michael Vicks season in Atlanta, the bookmakers have responded by readjusting or all together taking down the Falcon futures. This really sucks because on top of it all Vick is my fantasy football QB damnit!!!

Click here for Live NFL Future Lines

NFL Week 1 Odds Now Available!!!

Oh yeah people, its that time of year again, where football season is soo close you can almost taste it. The folks at GamblersPalace have posted up week 1 spreads to give all you fans that are chomping at the bit a little taste of whats to come. Heres what the current lines are looking like:
*Home Team is listed on bottom

New Orleans
Indianapolis -6

Kansas City
Houston -1

Denver -4
Buffalo


Pittsburgh -4
Cleveland

Tennessee
Jacksonville -6.5

Carolina PK
St. Louis PK

Philadelphia -3
Green Bay

Atlanta
Minnesota -3

Miami
Washington -3

New England -6
NY Jets

Tampa Bay
Seattle -6

Chicago
San Diego -6.5

Detroit
Oakland -2.5

NY Giants
Dallas -3.5

Baltimore
Cincinnati -3

Arizona
San Francisco -3.5

***Note all lines are subject to change as team depth charts change throughout the preseason.

Click here for Live NFL Lines and Futures

Brett Favre's Role in Green Bay

What is Brett Favre still doing in Green Bay?
After all the media frenzy last December about whether or not it would be Brett Favre’s last game you would think that it was a sure thing, hes done, hes going to retire, get in the hall of fame, and be hired by the Packers front office, right…….? I guess not because not only is he at the Packer minicamps and OTA’s, but hes listed as the starting QB for Green Bay on the depth chart!
Now I know its only June and its not a gaureentee that Favre is starting, but after seeing some press comferences on his progress as he gets ready for the 2007 season, I can tell you that he certainly believes that hes the starter. Favre’s competition at QB are 1 rookie and 2 guys that have seen less playing time than a one legged punter. At present it looks like 2nd year sophmore out of Furman, Ingle Martin is being groomed for the backup position while 3rd year junior out of Cal, Aaron Rodgers is holding up the 3rd string position and lastly there is the rookie free agent out of Oklahoma, Paul Thompson. First of all, let me say that I respect the Martin/Rodgers picks, they are good players and probably underrated and were definantly cheap to pick up. Now, I’m the Green Bay front office and Brett Favre has come back for yet another season and although he is nearing 40 years old, he is a hall of fame quarterback, but his numbers have dipped and the bottom line is that its time to groom the next generation in Green Bay, what do I do?……OK lets face it, Favre’s numbres have been declining steadily for a while now, hes a hall of famer and usually when you call someone that it means that they are retired or need to retire, unfortunatly Favre is the latter. I just got done watching a press clip on ESPN of Favre talking about having a sore shoulder and opting out of practices to let it heal and that this has been a problem before and hes working through it and will be ready for the start of the season. I mean I’m sure that when he decided to come back for another season that he expected to start and give it one last shot to take the Pack all the way and the pride and guts and glory and all that sentimental crap, but the bottom line is that the longer Favre is the starting quarterback the farther in the hole Green Bay will find itself. Green Bay is latching on to a storied past with a storied quarterback, Favre needs to be there for moral support and help groom the next era of quarterback, not going out there and trying to act like hes starting every game this season. What is the possibility that Favre will start every game this year, if he is not injured?
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